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Kennedy, LBJ &
Vietnam:
The Struggle to maintain Economic Hegemony
"Should I become President...I will
not risk American lives...by permitting any other nation to
drag us into the wrong war at the wrong place at the wrong
time through an unwise commitment that is unwise militarily,
unnecessary to our security and unsupported by our allies.
" -John F. Kennedy, speech, New York Times, October 13,
1960
In
this section of the paper I will conduct a historical analysis
of Kennedy's and LBJ's foreign policy. I argue that these
policies mutually reinforced each other. Johnson's domestic
policies were a continuation of Kennedy's and although there
is some speculation
as to how their foreign policies may have differed in the
case of Vietnam in light of the evidence
presented this will be proved to the contrary to the overarching
aims of the function of the Kennedy presidency. Furthermore
I will describe how the fourth pillar of American foreign
policy, the implementation and maintenance of the liberal
capitalist world order provided the impetus for escalation
of the Vietnamese conflict that more or less severely strained
the US's economic relations with Europe since they started
out footing the cost for that War.
Kennedy is elected to office with the promise
that he will be tough on communism. He appoints Allen
Dulles as head of the CIA and Dean
Rusk as secretary of State. Robert
McNamara is appointed head of the DOD.
In all of this Kennedy raises taxes because deterrence due
to MAD had rendered their conventional use obsolete. Containment
and commitment to intervention by conventional troops supplemented
by a limited policy of nuclear deterrence were to implement
under Kennedy's program of a "Flexible
Response." This policy maintained that military
power had to be harnessed for diplomatic means. The Eisenhower
administration had developed MAD and this had put American
policymakers at in impasse with the Soviets. The Soviets knew
that the Americans were not going to sacrifice New York for
the third world. Flexible Response was to entail the use of
conventional and strategic nuclear weapons developing a system
of gradation
over the previous all out nuclear warfare scenario that provided
few options.
However, in the third world there was an economic
crisis. Prices for raw materials had drooped. Technology had
made the prices for these goods cheaper. However, the price
for American manufactured goods had remained the same. This
had to do in part due to the US dollar's fixed rate, at 33
dollars and ounce, to gold. Furthermore, the thirdworld
had doubled its population at this time. The US foreign assistance
program at this time was more or less swallowed up by corrupt
regional elites who owed their power on the promise that they
would maintain the geopolitical and economic status quo of
the West. Furthermore, investments in third world countries
only went to cash crops geared to export such as (coffee and
cotton) and not staple foods. The result was violent swings
in the economy due to demand fluctuations, and speculative
price manipulation leading to nationalist revolt.
Kennedy's response to the Latin American problem
was the Alliance
for Progress. This economic recovery was analagous
to the Marshall plan with its emphasis in capital investment.
However, Latin America lacked the administrative capabilities
to implement those programs into production. Admittedly, colonialism
had left Latin America in a retarded state of economic development.
The only percieved way to bring about administrative stability
was to establish a system of military Junta's in which the
US core belief was stability in the western hemisphere as
orginally spelled out by the Monroe Doctrine. Stephen
Rabe suggests that the essential failure of the Alliance
for progress lay in the fact that Kennedy, .."Underestimated
the daunting nature of Latin America's socioeconomic problems...through
its recognition policy, internal security initiaves, and military
and economic programs the Administration demonstrably bolstered
regimes and groups that were undemocratic, conservative and
frequently repressive." (America in the World, 353)
During this time Kennedy decided to launch the
Bay of Pigs uprising to overthrow Castro, a policy
agenda left over from the Eisenhower administration. Allen
Dulles the Brother of John Foster Dulles is the chief supporter
of the operation. The 1500 pro-american Cuban forces recruited
for this were supposed to have air cover but at the last minute
Kennedy got cold feet and withdrew support, supposedly because
he thought Krushchev would invade Berlin. The result was a
major fiasco and prompted Castro to completely align himself
with the Russians and the Chinese. Lafeber maintains that
the purpose of this operation was grounded in the belief of
the CIA's ability to install puppet regimes that would maintain
the American hegemonic status quo: "The agency believed
that a small invasion would trigger an uprising against Castro,
just as the invasion of Guatemala in 1954 had triggered
the overthrow of that government."(American Age, 589)
Kennedy like Eisenhower failed to understand
that nationalism had many forms and although some were marxist
in application, it was the only ideology that provided a discourse
on land redistrubition and economic reform. In order for the
Alliance for Progress to have been successful would have required
a an overthrow of the old
conquistador elite. In all the CIA would make dozens of
unsuccesful attempts to kill Castro.
***
A number of Historians have advanced key reasons
as to the failure of the Bay of Pigs. Arthur
Schlesinger maintains that Kennedy supported the ill
fated venture due to the administrative shambles in the CIA
and the NSC and the lack of credible information in those
agencies created in Joshua Sandman's description by his attempt
to establish an agency more modeled after his program of flexible
response. However, these do not account for the effect of
ideology in the Cold War hampering reasoned and reflective
decisionmaking. Historian Thomas
Patterson notes the effect of this ideology on the Bay
of Pigs: "An even more fundamental reason for the doomed
operation was Kennedy's anti Castro fixation, which blinded
him, to the moral and legal--as well as the logistical and
military--questions involved in violently overthrowing a sovereign
government." (America
in the World, 337) The Bay of pigs would set the conditions
in place for the Berlin blockade and the Cuban
Missile crisis.
If there were dominos the administration would seem to be
creating the system that set such events into motion.
In Vietnam Kennedy continued the practice under
Eisenhower of sending military advisors. He also relied on
the notion of Indo China being vital to the Japanese economy,
a theme inherited from the previous administrations. Furthermore
the North Vietnamese nationalist movement was supplying guerilla
incursions against Diem's South Vietnamese pro -western government,
via the Ho Chi Minh trail that cut through the regions of
Laos and Cambodia. The administration advanced the notion
that the country Laos due to its placement near the Ho Chi
Minh trail was essentially the gateway to Indo China. Laos
was neutral during the conflict and yet in a geopolitical
sense Kennedy certaintly provided the mechanism for LBJ's
escalation. Inherently, Vietnam was locked in a fault line
between the Soviet-Chinese power bloc and the Japanese-Western
economic system.
Meanwhile in South Vietnam Diem's regime is
plagued with mounting protest and corruption. A similar program
of economic development as had been undertaken in Latin America,
albeit land reform had ceased to be effective by 1960. The
reason for the ineffectiveness of the Third World Asian Land
reform movements stemmed from cold war economic antagonisms
at the global supply side mode in so much as that regional
elite funded nationalism stemmed more from the militarization
of their economy while as hemispheric umpire the US allotted
its foreign aid subsidies for appropriating military and pro-US
business Asian elites.
Kennedy's administrative policies had to be
viewed from the prisim of the Cold War itself. For Kennedy
a Catholic, land redistrubition was essentially something
only aethist communists did. Even If the moral implications had been fully considered or individually ascertained
by Kennedy, no doubt his intelligence agency heads, Dulles
and Co., would have prevented any attempt by Kennedy to craft
catholic ideals in the face of his own catholic positivist
presidency.
***
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Third world attempts to nationalize private industry netted
quick response by US troops intervening under a doctrine called
low
intensity conflict. For more Information read this
Book: American
Military History (online)
Between the periods of 1962-63 a total of
13,000 troops were sent to Vietnam. The administration
advanced the rationale for sending them was that Vietnam would
become a puppet of Maoist China. Arthur Schlesinger suggests:
"Kennedy's legacy in Vietnam was dual contradictory and
that he left on the public record the impression of a major
national stake in the defense of South Vietnam."(America
in the World, 350)
The US administration failed to acknowledge
that Vietnam had historically resisted Sino Mongolian territorial
encroachments throughout its history as a state. Rather it
invested its hopes on the President of South Vietnam, Diem
& the GVN. Diem was educated in the United States
and upon returning to South Vietnam he proclaimed Catholicism
as the official state religion of Vietnam, and began a government
policy of exclusion aimed at native Buddhist traditions. Soon
protests by Buddhist monks ensue and in the midst of one of
the local protests a monk self
immolated himself to protest the corruption of Diem's government.
The effect of such an image when it was aired on American
television was what first framed American popular conceptions
toward protesting the war in Vietnam. Soon afterwards on November
1st, 1963 Diem was assasinated and two generals both sur-named
Nguyen came into power. Later in that same month Kennedy himself would be assasinated.
In all of this the missile gap with the
soviets was found to be nonexistent in the sense that America
at this time had larger stockpiles of nuclear weapons than
the Soviets. Kruschev's response to this was to move towards
the blockade of Berlin. Kennedy responds by increasing the
Defense budget by 3 billon dollars and "tripled draft
quotas" (Lafeber, 596) On August 6th the Soviet Premiere
commences the building of the Berlin wall to stem the tide
of East German refugees. Kennedy did little other than decry
the state of a divided city.
***
It was here where Kennedy developed his program
of flexible
response. This entailed the end of all out nuclear
confrontation in the method espoused by deterrence and rather
reliance on gradual missile proliferation supplemented by
conventional force build up. This also entailed an increase
in covert operations as well. Flexible response also
provided for the Rearmament of Western Germany and
the construction of a figurative trip wire euphemistically
referred to as check point Charlie, a force of US -
30,000 soldiers between the two fortresses of communism and
capitalism. In sum Kennedy's policy of flexible response kept
the soviets out of the reconstruction of the western European
economy. However, in Asia such flexible response when met
by the soviets resulted in blind support for weapons proliferation
throughout the third world and foreign intervention by Proxy
characterized an enduring theme of all cold war interventions
to come. In Asia the US relied on conventional troop deployments
and the Soviets relied on conventional arms supply and military
advisory roles.
Khrushchev's response to this was to deploy
nuclear missiles to Cuba, some 90 miles from American shores.
At this time there were 20,000 soviet military advisors in
Cuba entailing a complicated spy network. To Kennedy this
was a direct affront to American national security and in
terms of foreign policy tenants the first direct challenge
to America's Monroe Doctrine. Khrushchev's ideological
response to this is to note that the US had the Soviets surrounded
by military bases, i.e., NATO and nuclear Trident missiles
in Turkey and to such an extent he viewed his escalation
was on even footing with American expansion. Castro had cabled
Moscow fearing a US invasion of Cuba. Castro knowing that
60 years of American interventions in Cuba, stemmed from the
US's exercise of the
Platt Amendment at the behest of the sugar companies
and mafia casino syndicates and subsequently Castro after
being alerted to Operation
Mongoose, provided Russia with the means for a Russian
military sphere in Latin America. A US spy plane spots the
Russian nuclear arsenal in Cuba and Kennedy responds by placing
an economic embargo on Cuba and raised SAC's defcom status
to level five. Kennedy faced with Soviet Atomic diplomacy
scrambled for a diplomatic solution. He arrives at a no-invasion
pledge to Cuba and the deactiviation of US nuclear Trident
missiles in Turkey. The Soviet Premiere acquiesces and the
Cuban
Missile crisis officially ends 0ctober 29th 1962.
Some theorists have advanced the notion that the longterm
effects of the Cuban missile crisis were to play a part in
the Assasination of Kennedy in Dallas on November 22nd 1963.
A new President Lyndon Baines Johnson would take over where
Kennedy idealism
had failed.
It is difficult to know for certain what effect
Kennedy's programs would have had on Vietnam or in the Third
World in total entirety. What is known though is that the
Kennedy Doctrine emphazised the importance of the domino theory in the Third World
in traditional notions of geopolitical intrests being firmly
locked and geared towards geoeconomic interests. Historian,
William
S. Borden maintains that Kennedy's committment to the
Third World, "..was to launch an aggressive but ultimately
futile defense of American hegemony." (Hogan, America
in the World, 356) The Vietnam War was doomed to happen with
or without Kennedy's approval. Just six months after Kennedy
died the Gulf of Tonkin incident occured. Kennedy's assertion
to withdraw
US troops prior to his assasination would not have
meant that the Vietnam war could have been stopped. Rather
this apparent inconsistency of Kennedy reflected his idealisim
and his motivation by ideology, which may have resulted in
the power elite's decision to have Kennedy assasinated by
patsy. To add a twist to the historical record, the soothsayer,
Dean Rusk noted that, Kennedy never said,..."or hint
to me that he was planning to withdraw from Vietnam."(America
in the World, 350)
In later years, Kennedy's secretary of Defense, Robert Mcnamara described the inherent political quandry involved in America's intervention in Vietnam.
Robert McNamara on the Lessons of Vietnam
"You lost ... 3,200,000 people," McNamara told Giap. "We lost 58,000." He said the conference would help "ensure that our nations and other nations learn how to avoid such conflicts in the future."
He elaborated to reporters afterward: "The major questions are: Could we have avoided a tragedy -- a tragedy for them and a tragedy for us -- or could we have minimized it?"
The story has not yet been told.
But why now? Why after all these years of silence am I convinced I should speak? There are many reasons: the main one is that I have grown sick at heart witnessing the cynicism and even contempt with which so many people view our political institutions and leaders.
But I also know that the war caused terrible damage to America. I want to look at Vietnam in hindsight, not in any way to obscure my own and other' errors of judgment and their egregious costs but to show the full range of pressures and the lack of knowledge that existed at the time. I want to put Vietnam in context. We of the Kennedy and Johnson administrations who participated in the decisions on Vietnam acted according to what we thought were the principles and traditions of America. We made our decisions in light of those values. Yet we were wrong, terribly wrong. We owe it to future generations to explain why.
-McNAMara-
By again deploying the administrations of cold
war containment under Truman coupled with Eisenhower's policies
of massive deterrence, Kennedy had inherited a military industrial
complex that would soon require the
internationalization of the US economy, i.e., construction
of a new economic order and the de linking of the US dollar
from the Gold standard. For sake of historical continuity
this paper will resume discussion of the US gold standard
after the Administration of Lyndon Baines Johnson.
----
LBJ & Vietnam
Lyndon
Johnson viewed the status of Vietnam as paralleling that
of Korea. He had been confounded by Truman's refusal to
go after the Chinese. Johnson as a result of many years in
Congress and in the Senate had developed a reputation as a
consensus maker. In 1964 after the Gulf
of Tonkin incident Johnson was able to declare a police
action to protect American ships from alleged N. Vietnamese
unwarranted acts of provocation. Initially, 400 million dollars
was earmarked to fund the US's counter insurgency operation
and the first substantial number of American troops, 450,000
of them, begin to arrive in Vietnam to aid the GVN
regime. Most historians have ceased speculation
as to whether their was an actual military attack on the USS
Maddox.
The fact is that there was no real attack on the Maddox.
Johnson was trapped between trying to implement
his 'Great Society' programs at home and geopolitical interests
and power politicking in Vietnam. Johnson viewed the war
in Vietnam as a way to appease his own coalitional corporate
power base and to use the tide of patriotism to forge a consensus
in the domestic arena for his social policies. In terms of
military objectives in Vietnam, LBJ wanted to contain the
spread of Chinese Communisim, and that with gradual escalation
of the war Vietnam could be won absent international approval.
He relied on the notion that a slow escalation of the war
could keep the public from becoming interested in Vietnam.
Gradual escalation would also keep the Soviets and the Chinese
from declaring war on the US.
LBJ made a major miscalculation by choosing
to escalate Vietnamese intervention. He poured tax dollars
into a war that could not be won. Vietnam had always resisted
china's hegemonic sphere so in terms of geopolitical doctrine
the US created its own briar patch given that, "..no
real possibility existed to change the political allegiance
of the rural population to one of geniune support of the GVN."
( Paterson, Merrill, "Major
Problems In American Foreign Relations," V II, p-
576)
Also, China at this time was politically unstable,
and undergoing a cultural
revolution designed to enshrine Mao as emperor of
the Communist state. By 1967 the media images of the war in
Vietnam began to have a polarizing effect on American public
opinion. In 1968 at the Lunar Year of Tet the
Viet Cong launched a major offensive to which although they
were defeated served to remind and demonstrate to policymakers
and the American public that little real, political, economic
or strategic value had been gained as a result of 4 years
of counter insurgency. LBJ in the face of mounting pressure
decides not to seek reelection.
According to Eric
Bergerud, Vietnam was an unwinnable war. "The
Value of the history history of the war in a small place like
Hau Nghia provience lies in pointing out the that the military
and political situation facing the United States and the government
of South Vietnam in the larger area was intractable,
[strategic hamlet pacification, versus search and destroy
] given the realities existing in those nations and in the
world. The United States did not fail in Vietnam because of
tactical errors that were open to remedy. The errors made
were on a much higher level. The American military seriously
underestimated the difficulties involved in dealing with enemy
forces. And the civilian leadership particularly under Johnson,
underestimated the strength and tenacity of the enemy and
overestimated the willingness of its own people and soldiers
to continue the struggle indefinitely...They chose the
wrong battlefield." (Eric
M. Bergerud, The Dynamics of Defeat: The Vietnam
War in Hau Nghia Provience, pp.323-335, 1991, Westview Press,
Bouldar, Colorado.) Also please see HW
Brands's book, "The
Wages of Globalism: Lyndon Johnson and the Limits of American
Power."
The Johnson Doctrine was used to preserve
the status quo of the economic core, i.e., America's relationship
to the third world as a subsumed peripheral client state.
At this time it was perceived that the Soviets were cashing
in on America's overall international economic woes and so
Johnson was forced to assume that all peripherary states especially
Latin America could fall if regional raw market economic supply
centers were to fall under soviet hegemonic influence. Thus,
Johnson relied on military interventions where he viewed political
instability as a hindrance to economic investment such as
active support for the Junta that controlled the government
of Brazil during his term.
Russel D. Buhite in his essay, "From
Kennedy to Nixon," notes that Kennedy was interested
in primarily in preventing communist intervention in the third
world-Latin America. Johnson shared the same worldview except
that he had an ideological fetish for containing Soviet Power
in Asia. "Johnson..Shared the world view of almost every
policy maker of his generation seems abundantly clear: that
appeasement did not pay; that America's primary military interest
lay in containing the expansionist aspirations of the Soviet
Union and the PRC, and in successfully competing for influence
in the developing world."(American Foreign Relations
Reconsidered, 132) Thus, he argues that Johnson's commitment
to the third world had little to do with the economic and
political development of these individual countries more so
than maintaining the economic status quo under the guise of
American strategic necessity. Essentially the US's economic
bias was to view all forms of Third World social revolution
as attempts by indigenous natives to nationalize private industry
or any other such revolutions inclined towards soviet Marxist
ideology as precipitating a soviet backdoor two step.
Johnson also relied on Robert McNamara, the
head of the DOD, and Johnson's chief backer of military escalation
in Vietnam. In the political crisis of 1963 prior to the assasination
of the assasination of the S. Vietnamese President, Diem,
McNamara as well as General
Maxwell Taylor relying on the ideological wit of the domino
theory, managed to persude President Kennedy to link the political
crisis in Vietnam to the security interests of the United
States. It was Kennedy who sent the intial 16,000 troops to
vietnam. Johnson's role in all of this was that in seeing
the apparatus in place for intervention he saw how vietnam
could function as a double containment objective, i.e., contain
china and contain the allies of the Soviet's and Vietnamese
as well. China had demonstrated its expansionistic tendencies
by its seizure of Tibet in 1959. This seizure of land increased
its landmass by over one-third of its original size. Furthermore,
the land seizure in Tibet was decried by official
UN resolution. China had also manifested its desire for
eventual reunification of Taiwan to the mainland. Historical
appeasement could not be tolerated in Johnson's view. When
Johnson retired from public office in 1968, he spent the rest
of his life growing out his hair to better relate with a 60's
generation that had scorned him.
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