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What is Trend Trading ?


A trend is the general direction of the price of an asset or market in general. A trend is equally 'tradeable' whether it is positive or negative.

A trend can apply to equities, commodities, currencies and any other market characterised from time to time by perceptible and predictable positive or negative directional (non chaotic) movements in prices.

  • Trend trading is one of the most effective and easy to use methods for making money in the global markets. Trend trading success depends on identifying and catching the trend after it has started and getting out of the trend as soon as possible after the trend reverses. With enough experience it becomes possible to sometimes anticipate turn around and more effectively buy the dips and sell the peaks - the recent gold 'bottom' (within a longer term upward trend) is a good example.
     
  • Trend Trading involves taking a position in the markets with a view of holding that position for the duration of the trend. Some trend traders ("investors") generally trade the long term or secular trends in that manner and are not concerned with the day to day market volatility, others trade shorter term trends.
     
  • Trend trading is the most risk free way to make money in the markets. In trend trading you identify a change of trend in the market as early as possible, take your position, ride the trend, and close your position shortly before or shortly after the trend reverses or turns into 'sideways' (trendless) volatility. Sometimes, through extraordinarily skilled perceptive ability (a product of education/training and experience), you can enter and exit at top and bottom - or if 'short' trading, then enter at the top and exit at bottom.
     
  • With disciplined (absolutely essential characteristic) Trend Trading it is usually possible to profitably catch 60 to 80% of many intermediate term and long term market movements. Short term Trend Trading is more hazardous unless done as a component of longer term Trend Trading strategy (trading volatility within a longer term trend) and in a money management manner that can survive heavy draw down (temporary losses) in volatile markets.
     
  • Trend Trading, according to the time-scale(s) you adopt as your 'window'(s) on the markets, will help you take profits out of the markets, and depending on your adopted time-scale, relieve you of the burden of having to constantly watch (or be 'wired' to auto-alarms that watch) the market or individual stocks / commodities.
     
  • Whether you are a short-term day trader or a long-term investor - or you are positioned somewhere between the two, incorporation of Trend Trading as a major component of your overall trading strategy is advised.

This module focuses on the theory and practice of trading the main Asante natural resources and the main global currencies. It will also focus on the practicalities of how to, with a little or a lot of capital and without ever touching an actual commodity, visiting an actual exchange, or pocketing/banking a single currency note (other than your profit). Those more interested in handling the actual metal may goto Asante gold index

This module will also teach and demonstrate that with appropriate training, you can effectively equip yourself to deliver, from any net terminal, including a wireless personal portable at palatial mansion or remote village school ( village broadband || rural notebook || wind up power), a range of high quality, high value, brain powered, net mediated, services(example) to individuals and institutions anywhere in the world, as long as the recipient is able to receive and willing/able to pay for them. The only obstacles are in your mind and in the prejudice of others which is worn down by quality and cost-effectiveness of service.


Update 19-08-05 : This action research cycle is slowly grinding to a halt in the face of 'education' establishment hostility (rooted in and perpetuated by the fact that nobody is getting 'dashed' to facilitate free 21st century net mediated education), and related gradual degradation of what was a mickey mouse 'broadband' service to begin with.

At this time, a project manager or student at Kpoly, can for example only occasionally access a Yahoo mailbox, almost never access Google Groups, very seldom access his/her (Yahoo) Geocities personal web site to maintain/develop it, use of VideoSkype has become completely impossible even at weekends, and the graphics that are an essential component of  http://kumasipolytechnic.net/kpolytrendtrade2.htm  for example will not load, etcetera.


A taste of what's happening around you - I have two classes of GSS shares - one is a buy and hold position since $414 (metal) - the other is a trading position that 'scalps' when within trend volatility presents the 'scalping' opportunity. Watch this space for explanations of both positions - and for an explanation of why Asante are stupid not to participate.

 

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to be continued.


        



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[24 hr gold spot]

 
[24 hr gold price] [Most Recent XAU quotes]

[24 hr silver spot]


3Yr chart gold in Euros


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Update 10-Sep-2005 :

The gold spike in USDs is scary and look at those gaps that the likes of ASA and GDL have to fill - the pullback when it comes should present an opportunity..... before running up to a peak around $457..... before the Katrina debacle, gold was headed for a dip at beginning of Sep before topping at $457ish in Oct/Nov, but now what? ..... a smoothing of the the volatility or an ongoing earlier than expected run to $457ish, in company with a Eur/USD rise to 1.3 plus? ..... Then what? Probably one more tradable $ recovery and buyable gold dip, before $ secular downtrend and gold secular uptrend resume in Q 1/2 of '06, I reckon.....
Update 14-Sep-05
On the other hand if we look at gold charted in Euros, there is firm breakout and a steady heading towards range Eu390 to 430 via normal levels of volatility - at todays closing exchange rate of 1.24ish EUR/USD that is = $484 to $533
 

 


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